We include the tests carried out at the time (in 2013) on the Dax30 futures at 60 minutes (eSignal data), also showing the difference between the equity line without considering slippage and th equity line with 35 € slippage + trade commissions.
As always, the spirit of these articles is not to provide a ready-to-use formula but a search and study base for advanced enthusiasts, neophytes and traders. There are many improvements that can be made to this strategy but sensitivity and experience are needed …
Good study and good trading !!
// Multicharts Code
[LegacyColorValue = true];
vars: PriceW(0), ShareW(0), Count(0), VolWAPValue(0), VolWAPVariance(0), VolWAPSD(0);
if date > date[1] then begin PriceW = 0; ShareW = 0; Count = –1; Value1 = 0; Value2 = 0; VolWAPValue = 0; end; PriceW = PriceW + (AvgPrice * (UpTicks+DownTicks)); ShareW = ShareW + (UpTicks+DownTicks); Count = Count + 1; Value3 = 0; if ShareW > 0 then VolWAPValue = PriceW / ShareW; For Value1 = 0 To Count Begin if sharew <> 0 then Value2 = ((UpTicks[Value1]+DownTicks[Value1])/ShareW) * (Square(AvgPrice[Value1]-VolWAPValue)); Value3 = Value3 + Value2; End; VolWAPVariance = Value3;
Var: volatilita(0), prezzomediano(0), bandaup(0), bandadn(0), trend(0), supertrend(0), colore(0), inizio(0); input: Moltiplicatore(2), Nm_periodi(75); volatilita = avgtruerange(Nm_periodi); prezzomediano = (H + L) / 2; bandaup = prezzomediano + (moltiplicatore * volatilita); bandadn = prezzomediano – (moltiplicatore * volatilita); if inizio = 0 then begin trend = 1; inizio = 1; end; if trend = 1 and C < bandadn[1] then Begin trend = –1; bandaup = prezzomediano + (moltiplicatore * volatilita); supertrend = bandaup; end; if trend = 1 and C >= bandadn[1] and bandadn < bandadn[1] then Begin bandadn = bandadn[1]; supertrend = bandadn; end; if trend = 1 and C >= bandadn[1] and bandadn >= bandadn[1] then supertrend = bandadn; if trend =-1 and close > bandaup[1] then begin trend = 1; bandadn = prezzomediano – (moltiplicatore * volatilita); supertrend = bandadn; end; if trend =-1 and close <= bandaup and bandaup > bandaup[1] then begin bandaup = bandaup[1]; supertrend = bandaup; end; if trend =-1 and close <= bandaup and bandaup <= bandaup[1] then supertrend = bandaup; if T >= sess1firstbartime and T < 2000 then begin if close > supertrend and C[1] < supertrend[1] and marketposition = 0 then buy next bar at open; if C < supertrend and C[1] > supertrend[1] and marketposition = 0 then sellshort next bar at open; if marketposition = 1 and C[1] < VolWAPValue[1] and C < VolWAPValue then sell next bar at open; if marketposition = –1 and C > VolWAPValue and C[1] > VolWAPValue[1] then buytocover next bar at open; end;
if barssinceentry >= 5 and openpositionprofit>700 then begin if marketposition = 1 then sell next bar at entryprice+10 stop; if marketposition = –1 then buytocover next bar at entryprice–10 stop; end;
Strategy Performance Summary (from february 1997 to march 2013) | |||
All Trades | Long Trades | Short Trades | |
Net Profit | 255435,000000001 | 107389,999999997 | 148044,999999997 |
Gross Profit | 1126162,49999999 | 549802,500000005 | 576360,000000004 |
Gross Loss | -870727,499999994 | -442412,499999997 | -428314,999999996 |
Adjusted Net Profit | 183190,633885308 | 56374,8768348685 | 96593,0810817751 |
Adjusted Gross Profit | 1083748,76650212 | 521334,805643055 | 544728,135556175 |
Adjusted Gross Loss | -900558,132616811 | -464959,928808187 | -448135,054474399 |
Select Net Profit | 104699,999999998 | 72815,0000000078 | 31885,0000000074 |
Select Gross Profit | 677089,999999993 | 342832,500000005 | 334257,500000004 |
Select Gross Loss | -572389,999999994 | -270017,499999997 | -302372,499999996 |
Account Size Required | 41662,4999999995 | 51962,5000000005 | 30730,0000000006 |
Return on Account | 613,1053105311 | 206,6682703873 | 481,7604946306 |
Return on Initial Capital | 255,435 | 107,39 | 148,045 |
Max Strategy Drawdown | -43277,5 | -55225 | -32622,5 |
Max Strategy Drawdown (%) | -25,1884873145 | -25,4994844514 | -17,4235242279 |
Max Close To Close Drawdown | -41662,4999999995 | -51962,5000000005 | -30730,0000000006 |
Max Close To Close Drawdown (%) | -14,4905157667 | -23,1029155135 | -16,5428509905 |
Return on Max Strategy Drawdown | 5,9022586795 | 1,9445903124 | 4,5381255269 |
Profit Factor | 1,2933581402 | 1,2427372644 | 1,3456451443 |
Adjusted Profit Factor | 1,203418999 | 1,1212467427 | 1,2155445777 |
Select Profit Factor | 1,1829172417 | 1,2696677067 | 1,1054494043 |
Max # Contracts Held | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Slippage Paid | 108990,000000003 | 53060,0000000015 | 55930,0000000017 |
Commission Paid | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Open Position P/L | n/a | n/a | n/a |
Annual Rate of Return | 15,816062342 | 6,649390001 | 9,166672341 |
Monthly Rate of Return | 1,3180051952 | 0,5541158334 | 0,7638893617 |
Buy & Hold Return | 150109,511889862 | 146941,612604263 | 150109,511889862 |
Avg Monthly Return | 1316,675257732 | ||
Monthly Return StdDev | 6007,1779950276 | ||
Performance Ratios | |||
Upside Potential Ratio | 32,6094852404 | ||
Sharpe Ratio | 0,1640848886 | ||
Sortino Ratio | 0,218981974 | ||
Fouse Ratio | 0,0052530839 | ||
Calmar Ratio | 0,0088757168 | ||
Sterling Ratio | 0,0019706488 | ||
Net Profit as % of Largest loss | 3544,0166493236 | ||
Net Profit as % of Max Trade Drawdown | 2911,7697349672 | ||
Net Profit as % of Max Strategy Drawdown | 590,2258679452 | ||
Select Net Profit as % of Largest loss | 1452,6534859521 | ||
Select Net Profit as % of Max Trade Drawdown | 1193,5024223425 | ||
Select Net Profit as % of Max Strategy Drawdown | 241,9270983768 | ||
Adj Net Profit as % of Largest loss | 2541,6667899453 | ||
Adj Net Profit as % of Max Trade Drawdown | 2088,2374908556 | ||
Adj Net Profit as % of Max Strategy Drawdown | 423,2930134257 | ||
Time Analysis | |||
Trading Period | 16 Yrs, 2 Mths, 10 Dys, 22 Hrs | ||
Time in the Market | 7 Yrs, 3 Mths, 22 Dys, 21 Hrs | ||
Percent in the Market | 45,1248110529 | ||
Longest flat period | 22 Dys, 23 Hrs | ||
Max Run-up Date | 22/07/98 | ||
Max Drawdown Date | 09/10/08 | ||
Max Strategy Drawdown Date | 28/03/09 | ||
Max Close To Close Drawdown Date | 27/03/09 |